Smart devices have the potential to radically transform the utility and value of shipping container equipment assets, according to Drewry.
Smart containers have increased in prominence in a very short space of time and the pace of adoption is expected to accelerate over the next five years. A container becomes "smart" when fitted with a telematics device that provides real-time tracking and monitoring, enabling operators to increase turn time of their container equipment and so utilisation. It also allows beneficial cargo owners (BCOs) to understand the location and status of their cargo so that they can better control their supply chains.
"There are a number of factors driving this market growth, including growing calls for greater transparency and security across transport value chains," said Drewry's director of research products Martin Dixon. "Meanwhile, in shipping there is a demand to know the location of the container and above all the status of that container and the condition of the cargo inside it."
Drewry estimates that by the end of 2018, around 2.5 per cent of the global container equipment fleet was fitted with smart technology devices. However, take-up varies considerably by equipment type, with penetration already strong in intermodal and reefer containers but much lower in the dry box sector.
Global smart container development
Source: Drewry's Container Census & Leasing Annual Review & Forecast 2019/20
Drewry forecasts that the number of smart containers in the global fleet will triple in the five years to 2023 to reach over two million units, representing around 6.5 per cent of worldwide box inventories. As technological innovation lowers the cost of devices and enhances their value to BCOs, uptake is expected to accelerate.
Some equipment manufacturers and leasing companies already have plans to supply equipment ready-fitted with devices, and such practices are expected to become widespread among other industry players. Uptake amongst the latter is significant as the rental sector continues to take a lead in container equipment investment and ownership, now controlling comfortably more than half the fleet and expected to extend their share to over 55 per cent by 2023.
Meanwhile, container equipment rental rates have weakened through the first six months of the year following two years of recovery from the depths of the market in 2016. But they still have a long way to go if they are to get back to the returns seen in the earlier part of the decade, when per diems for 40-foot high-cubes on long-term lease were above US$1.50, compared with around $1.00 now.
"We expect lease rates to ease back over the near term on slowing growth in global trade and so demand for containing equipment. However, with newbuild prices also falling cash investment returns are expected to remain stable," added Dixon.
